Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 2

Aug 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
3 - 3
Mainz

Millot (8'), Leweling (15'), Rieder (88')
Karazor (36'), Chabot (53'), Millot (57'), Vagnomann (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Amiri (43' pen.), Burkardt (62'), Leitsch (90+4')
Riess (71'), Widmer (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Preussen Munster 0-5 Stuttgart
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Mainz 05
67.41% ( 1.84)	18.35% ( -0.29)	14.24% ( -1.55)

Both teams to score 55.34% (

-3.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.04% (

-2.03)

36.96% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.86% (

-2.23)

59.14% (

2.23)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.91% (

-0.11)

10.09% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.78% (

-0.26)

33.22% (

0.26)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.55% (

-3.3)

38.45% (

3.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.8% (

-3.3)

75.2% (

3.3)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 67.41%

Mainz 05 14.24%

Draw 18.35%

Stuttgart	Draw	Mainz 05
2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.65) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.35) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.99% Total : 67.41%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.35%	1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.25) Other @ 1.91% Total : 14.24%