Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 | 
| 54.39% (  4.96) | 22.09% (  -1.28) | 23.53% (  -3.68) | 
| Both teams to score 59.84% (  0.59) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.65% (  2.52) | 39.34% (  -2.52) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.32% (  2.59) | 61.68% (  -2.58) | 
| Wolfsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.53% (  2.63) | 14.47% (  -2.63) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.56% (  4.86) | 42.44% (  -4.85) | 
| Mainz 05 Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.96% (  -1.5) | 30.04% (  1.51) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.84% (  -1.85) | 66.16% (  1.85) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 | 
| 2-1 @ 9.77% (  0.22) 1-0 @ 8.4% (  -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.12% (  0.51) 3-1 @ 6.29% (  0.68) 3-0 @ 5.23% (  0.75) 3-2 @ 3.79% (  0.26) 4-1 @ 3.04% (  0.56) 4-0 @ 2.53% (  0.55) 4-2 @ 1.83% (  0.27) 5-1 @ 1.18% (  0.3) 5-0 @ 0.98% (  0.28) Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.39% | 1-1 @ 10.1% (  -0.7) 2-2 @ 5.87% (  -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.35% (  -0.53) 3-3 @ 1.52% (  0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 6.08% (  -0.7) 0-1 @ 5.23% (  -0.89) 0-2 @ 3.14% (  -0.69) 1-3 @ 2.44% (  -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.36% (  -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.26% (  -0.34) Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.53% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 | 
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 | 
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 | 
| 9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 | 
| 11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 | 
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 | 
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 | 
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 | 
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 | 
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