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Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Mainz logo

Heidenheim
1 - 1
Mainz

Kleindienst (65')
Gimber (35'), Kleindienst (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burkardt (37')
Barreiro (27'), Burkardt (69'), Kohr (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, April 28 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 2-1 Mainz 05

Considering their strong record at Voith Arena, we are expecting a competent performance from Heidenheim on Sunday, leading to back-to-back Bundesliga victories. Mainz are going well under fresh management, but a host of injuries and suspensions could cost them dearly on their travels in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
41.73% (-0.48500000000001 -0.49) 23.93% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 34.34% (0.492 0.49)
Both teams to score 61.24% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (0.153 0.15)40.96% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (0.154 0.15)63.35% (-0.15 -0.15)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)19.88% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (-0.246 -0.25)52% (0.249 0.25)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.349 0.35)23.56% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.499 0.5)57.61% (-0.496 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 41.73%
    Mainz 05 34.34%
    Draw 23.92%
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 41.73%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Mainz

Heidenheim
53.7%
Draw
23.9%
Mainz 05
22.4%
67
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
0-1
Heidenheim

Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen00000000
2Borussia DortmundDortmund00000000
3Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach00000000
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt00000000
5Augsburg00000000
6Bayern MunichBayern00000000
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin00000000
8Mainz 05Mainz00000000
9Heidenheim00000000
10Holstein Kiel00000000
11RB Leipzig00000000
12Freiburg00000000
13St Pauli00000000
14Hoffenheim00000000
15Stuttgart00000000
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum00000000
17Wolfsburg00000000
18Werder Bremen00000000


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