Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli0 - 1Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Benfica
Wednesday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Champions League
Wednesday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Champions League
We said: St Pauli 0-4 Bayern Munich
Given the sheer number of attacking absentees for St Pauli, it is difficult to see how they can pose an offensive challenge to Bayern. Additionally, the visitors have been exceptional goalscorers away from home this season, and they could score multiple times in their clash at Millerntor-Stadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.15%) and 1-3 (6.81%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Bayern Munich |
23.1% ( 0.29) | 20.56% ( 0.14) | 56.35% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 64.92% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
