Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Oct 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 3
Mainz

FT(HT: 0-2)

Burkardt (5', 62'), Sieb (16')
Sieb (20'), Jenz (79'), Kohr (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Mainz 05
54.91% ( -0.18)	22.62% ( 0.02)	22.47% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 56.61% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.01% (

0.12)

42.98% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61% (

0.12)

65.39% (

-0.12)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.44% (

-0.02)

15.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.49% (

-0.03)

44.51% (

0.03)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

0.21)

32.96% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

0.23)

69.54% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 54.91%

Mainz 05 22.47%

Draw 22.62%

St Pauli	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.91%	1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.47%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Mainz

St Pauli

40.4%

Draw

32.7%

Mainz 05

26.9%

Form Guide

Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli

St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig

Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli

Union Berlin 1-0 St Pauli

St Pauli 0-2 Heidenheim

Hallescher 2-3 St Pauli

Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim

Augsburg 2-3 Mainz

Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen

Stuttgart 3-3 Mainz

Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table