Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Mainz 05
54.91% ( -0.18)	22.62% ( 0.02)	22.47% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 56.61% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.01% (

0.12)

42.98% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61% (

0.12)

65.39% (

-0.12)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.44% (

-0.02)

15.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.49% (

-0.03)

44.51% (

0.03)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

0.21)

32.96% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

0.23)

69.54% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 54.91%

Mainz 05 22.47%

Draw 22.62%

St Pauli	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.91%	1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.47%