Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach | 
| 39.53% (  -0.14) | 23.71% (  -0.04) | 36.75% (  0.18) | 
| Both teams to score 62.51% (  0.18) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.51% (  0.23) | 39.49% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.16% (  0.23) | 61.83% (  -0.23) | 
| Wolfsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.74% (  0.03) | 20.26% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% (  0.05) | 52.6% (  -0.05) | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.39% (  0.19) | 21.6% (  -0.19) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% (  0.29) | 54.71% (  -0.29) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach | 
| 2-1 @ 8.55% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% (  -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.58% (  -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.55% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.49% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 2.97% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 10.7% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.55% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 4.38% (  -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% (  0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.2% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 6.71% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.14% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 3.35% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 2.62% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 1.61% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% (  0.02) 0-4 @ 1.01% (  0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.75% |