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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Wolfsburg
5 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Wind (3' pen.), Maehle (60'), Arnold (75'), Nmecha (84', 87')
Arnold (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fukuda (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, January 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
39.53% (-0.139 -0.14)23.71% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)36.75% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Both teams to score 62.51% (0.178 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.51% (0.225 0.23)39.49% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.16% (0.234 0.23)61.83% (-0.235 -0.23)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (0.030000000000001 0.03)20.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (0.050000000000004 0.05)52.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (0.19200000000001 0.19)21.6% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (0.29499999999999 0.29)54.71% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 39.53%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 36.75%
    Draw 23.71%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 39.53%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Borussia M'bach

Wolfsburg
75.0%
Draw
11.8%
Borussia Monchengladbach
13.2%
76
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Wolfsburg
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Baku (7')
Bornauw (27'), Wimmer (45+1')
Itakura (52'), N'Goumou (58'), Reitz (88')
Hack (84'), Omlin (90+3')
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Borussia M'bach
1-0
Wolfsburg
Kone (120')

Arnold (31'), Gerhardt (41')
Nov 10, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Borussia M'bach
4-0
Wolfsburg
Cvancara (16'), Reitz (42'), Honorat (64'), Plea (71')
Elvedi (29')

Arnold (33'), Vranckx (69'), Cozza (83')
Apr 9, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsburg
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Gerhardt (43'), Marmoush (69')
Thuram (13', 48')