Augsburg logo
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga

Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Heidenheim
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Kratzig (17'), Beck (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Trimmel (76')
Rothe (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawUnion Berlin
39.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.08% (0.055000000000003 0.06)34.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (-0.235 -0.23)50.76% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.207 -0.21)72.66% (0.206 0.21)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.116 -0.12)25.03% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.162 -0.16)59.71% (0.161 0.16)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (-0.137 -0.14)28.41% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (-0.172 -0.17)64.16% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 39.9%
    Union Berlin 34.02%
    Draw 26.07%
HeidenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.02%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Union Berlin

Heidenheim
52.4%
Draw
33.3%
Union Berlin
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Union Berlin
2-2
Heidenheim
Gosens (43'), Schafer (45+2')
Gosens (45'), Juranovic (53')
Dovedan (3'), Beste (71')
Traore (87')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Heidenheim
1-0
Union Berlin
Beste (59')
Pieringer (48')

Leite (40'), Kral (77')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Union Berlin
2-0
Heidenheim
Puchacz (7'), Michel (52')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Heidenheim
2-1
Union Berlin
Glatzel (48'), Schnatterer (56')
Griesbeck (8')
Zulj (23')
Hubner (58'), Mane (88'), Trimmel (90')
Oct 7, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Union Berlin
1-1
Heidenheim
Gikiewicz (90')
Andersson (52'), Schmiedebach (59'), Trimmel (90')
Glatzel (57')
Glatzel (7'), Griesbeck (41'), Andrich (62'), Theuerkauf (90')