Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
3 - 2
Union Berlin

Woltemade (51', 59'), Karazor (69')
Mittelstadt (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doekhi (37'), Skov (48')
Ronnow (45+3'), Skarke (60'), Leite (90+5'), Svensson (90+4'), Doekhi (90+5'), Vertessen (90+5'), Khedira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Jahn 0-3 Stuttgart
Tuesday, December 3 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Union Berlin
64.24% ( 0.54)	20.37% ( -0.27)	15.39% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.1% (

0.66)

43.9% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

0.64)

66.28% (

-0.63)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

0.37)

12.95% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.59% (

0.74)

39.41% (

-0.73)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.77% (

0.05)

41.23% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.24% (

0.04)

77.76% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 64.23%

Union Berlin 15.39%

Draw 20.37%

Stuttgart	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.23%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.37%	0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.39%