

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 38.26% ( | 25.6% ( | 36.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.58% ( | 48.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.44% ( | 70.55% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( | 24.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.56% ( | 59.44% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( | 26.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.94% ( | 61.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 |
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