Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
