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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Heidenheim | 
| 45.69% (  -0.01) | 23.97% (  -0) | 30.34% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 59.39% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.33% (  0.01) | 42.67% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.93% (  0.01) | 65.07% (  -0.02) | 
| Augsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.12% (  0) | 18.88% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.65% (  0) | 50.35% (  -0.01) | 
| Heidenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.21% (  0.01) | 26.79% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.93% (  0.02) | 62.07% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Augsburg | Draw | Heidenheim | 
| 2-1 @ 9.26% (  -0) 1-0 @ 8.43% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.03% (  -0) 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 3.91% (  -0) 3-2 @ 3.39% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.41% (  0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 45.69% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.1% (  0) 0-0 @ 5.06% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% (  0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.31% (  0) 0-1 @ 6.66% (  -0) 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 3.21% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.68% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.06% (  0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.34% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
