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Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Mainz logo

Heidenheim
0 - 2
Mainz


Pieringer (62'), Pieringer (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burkardt (28', 28'), Weiper (49', 49')
Kohr (65'), Kohr (65'), Caci (71'), Amiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Mainz 0-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
37.61% (0.499 0.5)25.25% (-0.044 -0.04)37.14% (-0.451 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.198 0.2)46.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.186 0.19)69.05% (-0.181 -0.18)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.361 0.36)24.45% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.502 0.5)58.89% (-0.499 -0.5)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.155 -0.16)24.71% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-0.219 -0.22)59.25% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 37.61%
    Mainz 05 37.14%
    Draw 25.24%
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.14%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Mainz

Heidenheim
25.4%
Draw
28.6%
Mainz 05
46.0%
63
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Mainz
0-2
Heidenheim

Hanche-Olsen (6'), Jenz (49'), Kohr (61')
Hanche-Olsen (28')
Pieringer (15'), Schoppner (86')
Traore (48'), Mainka (49'), Gimber (56'), Pieringer (77')
Dorsch (80')
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Heidenheim
1-1
Mainz
Kleindienst (65')
Gimber (35'), Kleindienst (76')
Burkardt (37')
Barreiro (27'), Burkardt (69'), Kohr (84')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
0-1
Heidenheim

Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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