MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:40:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
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Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Mainz logo

Heidenheim
0 - 2
Mainz


Pieringer (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burkardt (28'), Weiper (49')
Kohr (65'), Caci (71'), Amiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Mainz 0-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 1-2 Mainz 05

Heidenheim will feel they can regularly threaten Mainz's goal given the visitors have struggled on the road recently. However, the hosts are likely to be fatigued after their exploits in Europe on Thursday, and it would not be surprising if Mainz fought their way back into the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
37.61% (0.499 0.5) 25.25% (-0.044 -0.04) 37.14% (-0.451 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.198 0.2)46.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.186 0.19)69.05% (-0.181 -0.18)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.361 0.36)24.45% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.502 0.5)58.89% (-0.499 -0.5)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.155 -0.16)24.71% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-0.219 -0.22)59.25% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 37.61%
    Mainz 05 37.14%
    Draw 25.24%
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.14%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Mainz

Heidenheim
25.4%
Draw
28.6%
Mainz 05
46.0%
63
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Mainz
0-2
Heidenheim

Hanche-Olsen (6'), Jenz (49'), Kohr (61')
Hanche-Olsen (28')
Pieringer (15'), Schoppner (86')
Traore (48'), Mainka (49'), Gimber (56'), Pieringer (77')
Dorsch (80')
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Heidenheim
1-1
Mainz
Kleindienst (65')
Gimber (35'), Kleindienst (76')
Burkardt (37')
Barreiro (27'), Burkardt (69'), Kohr (84')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
0-1
Heidenheim

Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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