Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz 05
Mainz are unlikely to be beaten easily on Tuesday, and it would not be surprising if the game was a closely fought contest. Leverkusen should be considered slight favourites given their excellent home record, and they could find joy during counter-attacks if Mainz are forced to push further forward in the event that the hosts take the lead. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
76.08% ( 0.23) | 14.59% ( -0.01) | 9.33% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
