Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Weiper (75')
Mwene (33'), Henriksen (81'), Jenz (84'), Amiri (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bernhardsson (34')
Zec (44'), Remberg (51'), Becker (85'), Rosenboom (90+2'), Rosenboom (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it is 1-2 (5.05%).

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Holstein Kiel
60.33% ( -1)	21.1% ( 0.42)	18.57% ( 0.57)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Mainz 05	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.33%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 18.57%