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Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Pieringer (33'), Zivzivadze (47'), Conteh (90+3')
Traore (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harres (87')
Komenda (54'), Harres (78'), Arp (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 1-1 Holstein Kiel

Neither side can afford to lose at this stage of the season, but it is difficult to separate the two clubs. Heidenheim have frequently lost in the past months, while Holstein Kiel's record on the road is poor, so perhaps fans will witness the teams play out a tense stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawHolstein Kiel
42.13% (-0.388 -0.39) 24.32% (0.221 0.22) 33.54% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 59.57% (-0.741 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.991 -0.99)43.04% (0.98999999999999 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.988 -0.99)65.44% (0.986 0.99)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.59 -0.59)20.57% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9% (-0.941 -0.94)53.1% (0.939 0.94)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.374 -0.37)24.99% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (-0.522 -0.52)59.64% (0.521 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 42.13%
    Holstein Kiel 33.54%
    Draw 24.32%
HeidenheimDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 42.13%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.221 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.233 0.23)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.54%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel

Heidenheim
53.6%
Draw
32.1%
Holstein Kiel
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Heidenheim
Erras (28')
Gigovic (35'), Remberg (38'), Porath (59'), Knudsen (84')

Siersleben (18'), Gimber (33'), Mainka (68'), Schoppner (70'), Pieringer (76')
Apr 23, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 29
Heidenheim
3-0
Holstein Kiel
Mainka (2'), Kleindienst (68'), Beste (75' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 12.30pm
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Holstein Kiel
1-1
Heidenheim
Lorenz (56')
Lorenz (37')
Kleindienst (71')
Husing (62'), Schimmer (68'), Geipl (84')
Nov 21, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Heidenheim
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Kuhlwetter (1'), Leipertz (85')
Geipl (35')
Bartels (30')
Muhling (39'), Neumann (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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