Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Pieringer (33'), Zivzivadze (47'), Conteh (90+3')
Traore (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harres (87')
Komenda (54'), Harres (78'), Arp (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
42.13% ( -0.39)	24.32% ( 0.22)	33.54% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.96% (

-0.99)

43.04% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.56% (

-0.99)

65.44% (

0.99)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

-0.59)

20.57% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.9% (

-0.94)

53.1% (

0.94)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0.37)

24.99% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

-0.52)

59.64% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 42.13%

Holstein Kiel 33.54%

Draw 24.32%

Heidenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 42.13%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.54%