Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Pieringer (33'), Zivzivadze (47'), Conteh (90+3')
Traore (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harres (87')
Komenda (54'), Harres (78'), Arp (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
42.13% ( -0.39)	24.32% ( 0.22)	33.54% ( 0.17)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Heidenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 42.13%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.54%

Bundesliga

Heidenheim3 - 1Holstein Kiel

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel

Data Analysis

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel

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Heidenheim
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel