Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 22, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Knudsen (12'), Zec (24'), Javorcek (75'), Komenda (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Schick (9'), Adli (45')
Hincapie (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
15.48% ( -0.9)	19.62% ( -0.28)	64.9% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 53.96% (

-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.69% (

-0.5)

40.3% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.32% (

-0.52)

62.68% (

0.51)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.1% (

-1.44)

38.9% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.37% (

-1.38)

75.62% (

1.38)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.32% (

0.17)

11.68% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.23% (

0.37)

36.76% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 15.48%

Bayer Leverkusen 64.89%

Draw 19.62%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.48%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.62%	0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 7.5% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.02% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.73% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.89%