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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Leverkusen logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Raum (41'), Tapsoba (85' og.)
Simons (79'), Baumgartner (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Schick (18'), Garcia (36')
Andrich (40'), Tapsoba (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.08% (-3.301 -3.3)23.69% (-0.123 -0.12)43.23% (3.431 3.43)
Both teams to score 61.74% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)40.15% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48% (-0.143 -0.14)62.52% (0.148 0.15)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-1.854 -1.85)23.88% (1.86 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (-2.736 -2.74)58.09% (2.741 2.74)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (1.469 1.47)18.89% (-1.464 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (2.387 2.39)50.37% (-2.382 -2.38)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 33.08%
    Bayer Leverkusen 43.23%
    Draw 23.68%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.459 -0.46)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.505 -0.51)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.38 -0.38)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.08%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.378 0.38)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.384 0.38)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.585 0.59)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.423 0.42)
2-3 @ 3.57% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.466 0.47)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.261 0.26)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.114 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.25 0.25)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 43.23%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs B. Leverkusen

RB Leipzig
14.8%
Draw
14.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
70.5%
61
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
2-3
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (39'), Grimaldo (45')
Boniface (12'), Frimpong (18'), Tapsoba (82')
Kampl (45+7'), Openda (57', 80')
Rose (26'), Klostermann (61')
Rose (26')
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Simons (7'), Openda (56')
Simons (71'), Schlager (87')
Tella (47'), Tah (63'), Hincapie (90+1')
Tah (12'), Alonso (34'), Stanisic (38'), Wirtz (66')
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
B. Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')
Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (32'), Werner (83')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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