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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Wirtz (32', 62' pen.), Schick (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kleindienst (90+1')
Cvancara (59'), Lainer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 Mainz
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Borussia Monchengladbach

Even though Leverkusen could be forced to field a weakened back three, it is difficult to see Borussia Monchengladbach taking advantage of any weaknesses given their poor offensive displays so far this season. Additionally, Leverkusen's exceptional performances in the past months should give fans optimism that they can win yet again, and their strong home record suggests that the visitors are unlikely to leave with any points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 9.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
76.64% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43) 14.04% (0.212 0.21) 9.32% (0.2199 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.18% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.81% (-0.339 -0.34)29.19% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.79% (-0.417 -0.42)50.21% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.76% (-0.149 -0.15)6.24% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.44% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)23.56% (0.419 0.42)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.85% (0.186 0.19)41.14% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31% (0.164 0.16)77.68% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 76.64%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 9.32%
    Draw 14.04%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.14% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.11% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 6.34% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-1 @ 5.63% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.52% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 76.64%
1-1 @ 6.33% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.57% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.04%
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.28% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 9.32%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Borussia M'bach

Bayer Leverkusen
90.9%
Draw
7.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach
1.8%
55
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Borussia M'bach
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Elvedi (59'), Kleindienst (85')
Lainer (90+13')
Xhaka (12'), Wirtz (38', 90+11')
Jan 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Borussia M'bach
Xhaka (47'), Schick (66'), Stanisic (74')
Weigl (81')
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Borussia M'bach
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Itakura (45+5'), Cvancara (45+3')
Okoh Boniface (18', 53'), Tah (45+6')
Okoh Boniface (16'), Frimpong (45+3'), Tah (45+4')
May 21, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Adli (15'), Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (45'), Palacios (77'), Amiri (81')
Hincapie (90+4')
Hofmann (58'), Stindl (90')
Kone (35'), Friedrich (47'), Stindl (70')
Jan 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Borussia M'bach
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stindl (82', 90+3')
Bakker (21'), Adli (43'), Amiri (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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