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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig | 
| 56.02% (  -0.14) | 21.18% (  0.03) | 22.8% (  0.11) | 
| Both teams to score 62.18% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.14% (  -0.02) | 35.85% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.06% (  -0.02) | 57.94% (  0.02) | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.2% (  -0.05) | 12.8% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.89% (  -0.1) | 39.11% (  0.1) | 
| RB Leipzig Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.3% (  0.08) | 28.7% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.48% (  0.1) | 64.52% (  -0.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig | 
| 2-1 @ 9.69% (  -0) 2-0 @ 7.76% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% (  -0) 3-1 @ 6.64% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.32% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.41% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.13% (  -0) 5-1 @ 1.4% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% (  -0.01) Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 9.43% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.73% (  0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.88% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% (  0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.8% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
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