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Champions League | League Stage
Jan 22, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Sporting Lisbon

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Sesko (19'), Poulsen (78')
Raum (79'), Vandevoordt (86'), Orban (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gyokeres (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawSporting Lisbon
26.93% (0.068999999999999 0.07)22.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)50.63% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 62.29% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.26% (0.094000000000001 0.09)37.74% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.02% (0.1 0.1)59.98% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (0.097999999999999 0.1)26.58% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (0.129 0.13)61.8% (-0.127 -0.13)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (0.01400000000001 0.01)15.15% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26% (0.024999999999999 0.02)43.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 26.93%
    Sporting Lisbon 50.63%
    Draw 22.43%
RB LeipzigDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.34% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.93%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.82%
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 50.63%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon

RB Leipzig
31.4%
Draw
15.3%
Sporting Lisbon
53.3%
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