Celtic logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Leipzig logo

Celtic
3 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kuhn (35', 45+1'), Hatate (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baumgartner (23')
Sesko (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawRB Leipzig
61.66% (0.33799999999999 0.34)19.85% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)18.5% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 59.86% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.28% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)35.73% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.21% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)57.8% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.070999999999998 0.07)11.19% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.3% (0.14100000000001 0.14)35.7% (-0.134 -0.13)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.316 -0.32)32.61% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.358 -0.36)69.15% (0.36500000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 61.66%
    RB Leipzig 18.5%
    Draw 19.85%
CelticDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.39% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.92% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.026 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 61.66%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 18.5%

How you voted: Celtic vs RB Leipzig

Celtic
27.5%
Draw
15.7%
RB Leipzig
56.7%
363
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
0-2
RB Leipzig
Werner (75'), Forsberg (84')
Oct 5, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
3-1
Celtic
Nkunku (27'), Silva (64', 77')
Jota (47')
Nov 8, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
2-1
RB Leipzig
Tierney (11'), Edouard (79')
Benkovic (35'), Tierney (52')
Augustin (79')
Augustin (17'), Halstenberg (44'), Laimer (55'), Sabitzer (63')
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
2-0
Celtic
Cunha (31'), Bruma (35')
Ilsanker (65'), Laimer (89')

Boyata (86')