Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Sparta Prague
81.3% ( -0)	11.66% ( 0)	7.04% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.85% (

0.01)

25.15% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.89% (

0.01)

45.11% (

-0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.35% (

4.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.08% (

18.92% (

-0)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.93% (

0.01)

43.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.65% (

0.01)

79.35% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 81.3%

Sparta Prague 7.04%

Draw 11.66%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Sparta Prague
3-0 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 7.94% 4-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.54% 5-1 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.62% 6-0 @ 2.32% 6-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 5.08% Total : 81.3%	1-1 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.66%	1-2 @ 2.18% 0-1 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.24% Total : 7.04%