Feyenoord
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
4 - 2
Sparta Prague

Trauner (8'), Paixao (10'), Hadj Moussa (30'), Gimenez (63')
Gimenez (51')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rrahmani (43'), Beelen (79' og.)
Vindahl Jensen (10'), Sorensen (37'), Vitik (53'), Zeleny (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Feyenoord and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 10.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-2 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.

Result
FeyenoordDrawSparta Prague
74.57% (-0.586 -0.59)15.19% (0.179 0.18)10.24% (0.404 0.4)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.982 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.86% (0.41999999999999 0.42)32.14% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.27% (0.491 0.49)53.73% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)7.29% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.62% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)26.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (1.071 1.07)41.54% (-1.072 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (0.927 0.93)78.04% (-0.93000000000001 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 74.56%
    Sparta Prague 10.24%
    Draw 15.19%
FeyenoordDrawSparta Prague
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.06% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-1 @ 7.96% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-0 @ 5.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.21% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.113 0.11)
5-0 @ 3.11% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.072 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.037 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 74.56%
1-1 @ 6.97% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.03% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.19%
1-2 @ 3.06% (0.105 0.11)
0-1 @ 2.66% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.24%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs Sparta Prague

Feyenoord
76.7%
Draw
15.8%
Sparta Prague
7.5%
146