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Champions League

Champions League | League Stage
Nov 26, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Epet Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Sparta Prague
0 - 6
Atletico


Pesek (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alvarez (15', 59'), Llorente (43'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (85', 89')
Barrios (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-1 Teplice
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Czech Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Saturday, November 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Sparta PragueDrawAtletico Madrid
28.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)25.44% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.23% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)50.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.030999999999999 0.03)72.16% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)68.49% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.043000000000006 0.04)21.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (0.068000000000005 0.07)54.88% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 28.33%
    Atletico Madrid 46.22%
    Draw 25.44%
Sparta PragueDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.22%

How you voted: Sparta Prague vs Atletico

Sparta Prague
8.2%
Draw
15.7%
Atletico Madrid
76.0%
267
rhs 2.0
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