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Malmo
Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
0 - 2
Sparta Prague


Busanello (11'), Pena (34'), Christiansen (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stryger Larsen (31' og.), Rynes (89')
Olatunji (40'), Laci (62'), Pesek (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Malmo and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, August 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Next Game: Midtjylland vs. Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, August 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Jablonec 1-2 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Next Game: Midtjylland vs. Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, August 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawSparta Prague
65.75%18.5%15.75%
Both teams to score 58.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.69%34.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.78%56.22%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24%9.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.53%32.47%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21%34.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47%71.53%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 65.75%
    Sparta Prague 15.75%
    Draw 18.5%
MalmoDrawSparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 7.53%
3-0 @ 7.13%
4-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.97%
4-2 @ 2.31%
5-1 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 65.75%
1-1 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 5.12%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-1 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 15.75%

How you voted: Malmo vs Sparta Prague

Malmo
37.7%
Draw
17.9%
Sparta Prague
44.4%
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