Malmo
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion
KI Klaksvik

Malmo
4 - 1
KI

Berg Johnsen (21', 43'), Bolin (37'), Rieks (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Frederiksberg (71')
Pavlovic (57'), Danielsen (70'), Ejupi (75'), Yambere (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Malmo and KI Klaksvik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sirius 3-4 Malmo
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Differdange 0-0 KI
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for KI Klaksvik had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a KI Klaksvik win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawKI Klaksvik
72.95%16.36%10.68%
Both teams to score 51.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24%36.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07%58.93%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.26%8.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.97%30.03%
KI Klaksvik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.04%43.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91%80.09%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 72.95%
    KI Klaksvik 10.68%
    Draw 16.36%
MalmoDrawKI Klaksvik
2-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.38%
1-0 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 9.27%
3-1 @ 7.62%
4-0 @ 5.65%
4-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 3.13%
5-0 @ 2.76%
5-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.91%
6-0 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 0.93%
6-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 72.95%
1-1 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 3.85%
0-0 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-1 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.68%

How you voted: Malmo vs KI

Malmo
91.0%
Draw
6.0%
KI Klaksvik
3.0%
67