La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 23, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 1Alaves
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Alaves
Alaves, despite their struggles on the road this season, are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Atletico; Simeone's side are on a roll at the moment, though, and we are expecting them to keep another clean sheet in a routine home success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
66.47% ( -0.85) | 20.69% ( 0.39) | 12.83% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 43.62% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
