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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Wimmer (50'), Wind (53')
Wimmer (60'), Maehle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zec (13'), Skrzybski (80')
Zec (23'), Pichler (90+4'), Arp (90+2'), Remberg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 3-0 Holstein Kiel

Though Wolfsburg have been defensively frail in recent weeks, it is difficult to see Holstein Kiel posing much of a challenge given their poor away form. Additionally, the visitors are in the midst of a defensive injury crisis, and it would be surprising if they managed to keep the hosts from scoring multiple goals on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawHolstein Kiel
47.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 22.92% (0.041 0.04) 29.43% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 62.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.8% (-0.181 -0.18)38.2% (0.181 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.52% (-0.193 -0.19)60.47% (0.192 0.19)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)16.37% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)46% (0.168 0.17)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)25.14% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (-0.103 -0.1)59.85% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 47.64%
    Holstein Kiel 29.43%
    Draw 22.91%
WolfsburgDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel

Wolfsburg
85.7%
Draw
13.3%
Holstein Kiel
1.0%
98
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Wolfsburg

Bernhardsson (48'), Knudsen (58'), Arp (90+7'), Geschwill (90+9')
Rapp (90+7')
Arnold (27'), Bornauw (30')
Svanberg (19'), Wimmer (35'), Baku (41'), Fischer (43'), Tomas (51'), Zesiger (77'), Arnold (89')
May 21, 2018 7.30pm
Finals
Holstein Kiel
0-1
Wolfsburg

Herrmann (31'), Peitz (89'), Ducksch (90')
Knoche (75')
Uduokhai (28'), Brooks (89')
May 17, 2018 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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