Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

Holstein Kiel
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Yobel Kelati (84')
Knudsen (53'), Weiner (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hlozek (26', 56'), Kramaric (45+1')
Chaves (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHoffenheim
45.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)22.7% (0.215 0.22)31.63% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.76% (-0.916 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09% (-1.16 -1.16)35.91% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42% (-1.288 -1.29)58% (1.287 1.29)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)16.23% (0.46 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-0.848 -0.85)45.75% (0.845 0.84)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.664 -0.66)22.68% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.988 -0.99)56.33% (0.98500000000001 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 45.67%
    Hoffenheim 31.64%
    Draw 22.7%
Holstein KielDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.208 0.21)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.207 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.64%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim

Holstein Kiel
47.5%
Draw
20.0%
Hoffenheim
32.5%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hoffenheim
3-2
Holstein Kiel
Kramaric (6' pen., 37', 87')
Hlozek (14'), Moerstedt (90+3')
Bernhardsson (63'), Machino (89')
Weiner (5'), Yobel Kelati (81')
Yobel Kelati (82')
Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm
Second Round
Hoffenheim
5-1
Holstein Kiel
Van den Bergh (3' og.), Wahl (31' og.), Stiller (59'), Dabour (72'), Bruun Larsen (84')
Akpoguma (46')
Neumann (47')
Lorenz (68')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!