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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.28%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim | 
| 59.28% (  0.56) | 20.16% (  -0.21) | 20.56% (  -0.35) | 
| Both teams to score 62.54% (  0.2) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.1% (  0.5) | 33.9% (  -0.5) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.24% (  0.57) | 55.75% (  -0.57) | 
| Borussia Dortmund Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.73% (  0.31) | 11.27% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.14% (  0.67) | 35.86% (  -0.66) | 
| Hoffenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.48% (  -0.02) | 29.51% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.47% (  -0.03) | 65.53% (  0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim | 
| 2-1 @ 9.67% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.93% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.26% (  -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.04% (  0.07) 3-0 @ 5.77% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 4.3% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 3.84% (  0.09) 4-0 @ 3.15% (  0.07) 4-2 @ 2.34% (  0.05) 5-1 @ 1.68% (  0.06) 5-0 @ 1.38% (  0.05) 5-2 @ 1.02% (  0.04) 4-3 @ 0.95% (  0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.28% | 1-1 @ 8.86% (  -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.9% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.33% (  -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.75% (  0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.16% | 1-2 @ 5.41% (  -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.06% (  -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.48% (  -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.4% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.2% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.01% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 20.56% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
