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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Reyna (46')
Gross (26'), Nmecha (44'), Reyna (73'), Bynoe-Gittens (76'), Adeyemi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bruun Larsen (90+1')
Gendrey (21'), Geiger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-0 FCSB
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Hoffenheim

Dortmund are in the midst of an injury crisis in their backline, and it would be remarkable if they managed to keep Hoffenheim at bay. Having said that, the visitors' record away from home is poor while Dortmund's is strong, and the hosts should come into Sunday's match as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.28%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
59.28% (0.561 0.56) 20.16% (-0.208 -0.21) 20.56% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 62.54% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (0.504 0.5)33.9% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.24% (0.569 0.57)55.75% (-0.57 -0.57)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (0.306 0.31)11.27% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.14% (0.66500000000001 0.67)35.86% (-0.664 -0.66)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)29.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)65.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 59.28%
    Hoffenheim 20.56%
    Draw 20.16%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.77% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.035 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 59.28%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 20.56%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
85.7%
Draw
11.4%
Hoffenheim
2.9%
70
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-3
Hoffenheim
Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')
Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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