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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Heidenheim

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Tabakovic (34')
Chaves (90+3'), Ole Becker (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zivzivadze (65')
Siersleben (9'), Pieringer (13'), Traore (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawHeidenheim
47.93% (0.252 0.25)23.19% (0.104 0.1)28.88% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 61.21% (-0.638 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (-0.726 -0.73)39.86% (0.724 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.758 -0.76)62.21% (0.755 0.75)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)16.9% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05% (-0.325 -0.33)46.95% (0.322 0.32)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (-0.604 -0.6)26.33% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53% (-0.813 -0.81)61.47% (0.81 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 47.93%
    Heidenheim 28.88%
    Draw 23.18%
HoffenheimDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.217 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Heidenheim

Hoffenheim
75.9%
Draw
20.7%
Heidenheim
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 8
Heidenheim
0-0
Hoffenheim
Pieringer (32')
Stach (33'), Berisha (90')
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Hoffenheim
1-1
Heidenheim
Kramaric (45+7' pen.)
Stach (59'), Akpoguma (72'), Brooks (89'), Grillitsch (90+4')
Dinkci (29')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Heidenheim
2-3
Hoffenheim
Beste (26'), Pieringer (58')
Dinkci (38')
Beier (77'), Kaderabek (80'), Kramaric (90' pen.)
Bulter (25'), Akpoguma (40'), Grillitsch (70'), Kaderabek (82'), Weghorst (90+5')