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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Stuttgart

Orban (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Stuttgart

Hoffenheim have struggled at home this campaign, whereas Stuttgart have been excellent away from home. The visitors' strong record on the road should make them favourites on Sunday, though it is hard to see them keeping a clean sheet given the volume of goals they have conceded recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
30.25% (-0.362 -0.36) 21.96% (-0.012 -0.01) 47.79% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 66.74% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)33% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.28% (-0.176 -0.18)54.72% (0.176 0.18)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)22.05% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.43 -0.43)55.39% (0.431 0.43)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (0.069000000000003 0.07)14.38% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.73% (0.135 0.13)42.26% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 30.25%
    Stuttgart 47.79%
    Draw 21.96%
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 30.25%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.17% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.79%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
45.6%
Draw
14.0%
Stuttgart
40.4%
57
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Demirovic (90+9')
Mittelstadt (26')
Gendrey (45')
Bischof (45+3'), Grillitsch (55'), Kramaric (66'), Chaves (71')
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
0-3
Stuttgart

Kaderabek (45+3')
Millot (16'), Guirassy (45+1'), Leweling (68')
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
2-3
Hoffenheim
Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Tomas (80')
Bebou (75')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
2-2
Stuttgart
Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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