

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.1%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Stuttgart | 
| 35.61% (  -0.08) | 22.74% (  -0.23) | 41.65% (  0.31) | 
| Both teams to score 66.05% (  0.86) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.19% (  1.13) | 34.81% (  -1.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.22% (  1.25) | 56.77% (  -1.26) | 
| Hoffenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.93% (  0.47) | 20.06% (  -0.47) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.71% (  0.75) | 52.29% (  -0.76) | 
| Stuttgart Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.63% (  0.59) | 17.36% (  -0.59) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.24% (  1.03) | 47.76% (  -1.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Stuttgart | 
| 2-1 @ 7.87% (  -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.6% (  -0.24) 2-0 @ 4.49% (  -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.21% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 3.69% (  0.09) 3-0 @ 2.41% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.69% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.48% (  0.06) 4-0 @ 0.97% (  0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.61% | 1-1 @ 9.8% (  -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.89% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 3.48% (  -0.2) 3-3 @ 2.15% (  0.1) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 8.58% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.1% (  -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.34% (  -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.01% (  0.08) 2-3 @ 4.02% (  0.12) 0-3 @ 3.12% (  0) 1-4 @ 2.19% (  0.08) 2-4 @ 1.76% (  0.09) 0-4 @ 1.36% (  0.03) 3-4 @ 0.94% (  0.06) Other @ 3.23% Total : 41.65% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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