

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 48.23% ( | 23.06% ( | 28.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( | 39.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.3% ( | 61.7% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( | 16.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.59% ( | 46.41% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( | 26.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.7% ( | 61.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 93 | 32 | 61 | 76 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 50 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 37 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 25 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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