

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Heidenheim | 
| 54.91% (  -0.68) | 21.63% (  0.24) | 23.45% (  0.44) | 
| Both teams to score 61.37% (  -0.29) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.71% (  -0.63) | 37.28% (  0.63) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.5% (  -0.68) | 59.49% (  0.68) | 
| Hoffenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.39% (  -0.42) | 13.6% (  0.42) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.26% (  -0.84) | 40.74% (  0.84) | 
| Heidenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.04% (  0.01) | 28.96% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.15% (  0.01) | 64.85% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Heidenheim | 
| 2-1 @ 9.71% (  0) 1-0 @ 7.86% (  0.12) 2-0 @ 7.84% (  -0) 3-1 @ 6.46% (  -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.21% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 4% (  -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.22% (  -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.6% (  -0.08) 4-2 @ 2% (  -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.29% (  -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.04% (  -0.05) Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.91% | 1-1 @ 9.74% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 6.02% (  0) 0-0 @ 3.94% (  0.12) 3-3 @ 1.65% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 6.03% (  0.09) 0-1 @ 4.88% (  0.15) 0-2 @ 3.03% (  0.09) 1-3 @ 2.49% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.25% (  0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 23.45% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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