

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg | 
| 34.73% (  -0.2) | 23.41% (  0.09) | 41.86% (  0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 63.3% (  -0.38) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.68% (  -0.48) | 38.32% (  0.48) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.4% (  -0.51) | 60.6% (  0.51) | 
| Hoffenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.88% (  -0.33) | 22.12% (  0.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.51% (  -0.5) | 55.49% (  0.5) | 
| Wolfsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.28% (  -0.15) | 18.72% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.91% (  -0.25) | 50.09% (  0.25) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg | 
| 2-1 @ 7.9% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.25% (  0.08) 2-0 @ 4.71% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% (  -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.33% (  -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.37% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 34.73% | 1-1 @ 10.46% (  0.08) 2-2 @ 6.62% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.14% (  0.09) 3-3 @ 1.86% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 8.77% (  0.03) 0-1 @ 6.94% (  0.13) 0-2 @ 5.81% (  0.08) 1-3 @ 4.9% (  -0) 2-3 @ 3.7% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.25% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 2.05% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.55% (  -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% (  0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.86% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 93 | 32 | 61 | 76 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 37 | 31 | 68 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 | 
| 4 | Freiburg | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 51 | 
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 50 | 
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 48 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 47 | 
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 45 | 
| 10 | Stuttgart | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 44 | 
| 11 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 39 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 37 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 31 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 31 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 26 | 
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 25 | 
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 | 
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