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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Stuttgart

Dortmund
1 - 2
Stuttgart

Brandt (81')
Can (17'), Ryerson (56'), Adeyemi (60'), Duranville (90+2')
Ryerson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anton (50' og.), Chabot (61')
Stiller (89'), Karazor (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Stuttgart

The hosts could benefit from the new manager bounce on Saturday, and backed by their fervent home support, they should be considered favourites. Borussia Dortmund are unlikely to keep Stuttgart from scoring considering they may have to field a makeshift backline, and the visitors will take confidence from their strong record away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
46.28% (0.22 0.22) 22.44% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 31.29% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 65.55% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.2% (0.175 0.17)34.8% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.23% (0.19600000000001 0.2)56.77% (-0.197 -0.2)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.146 0.15)15.58% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (0.271 0.27)44.55% (-0.273 -0.27)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.012 -0.01)22.34% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 46.28%
    Stuttgart 31.29%
    Draw 22.44%
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund
50.7%
Draw
38.7%
Stuttgart
10.7%
75
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Stuttgart
5-1
Dortmund
Undav (4', 90'), Demirovic (21'), Millot (62'), Bilal Toure (80')
Leweling (17')
Guirassy (75')
Can (73'), Sabitzer (77'), Bensebaini (81')
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Dortmund
0-1
Stuttgart

Brandt (45+1'), Adeyemi (72')
Guirassy (64')
Stiller (9'), Millot (26'), Karazor (71'), Nubel (85')
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Stuttgart
2-0
Dortmund
Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')

Bensebaini (67')
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Stuttgart
2-1
Dortmund
Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')
Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-3
Dortmund
Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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