Stuttgart 2-0 Borussia Dortmund - DFB-Pokal Round of 16 - Football

2 - 0

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bensebaini (67')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Dortmund
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

Both sides are enjoying positive runs and will certainly have their sights set on the quarter-finals, and we anticipate an entertaining encounter at the MHPArena on Wednesday. Having got the better of their visitors in the last Bundesliga meeting between the two teams, we fancy Stuttgart to again come out on top in this DFB-Pokal cup tie given the momentum on their side, particularly in attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
50.35% ( 2.94)	21.87% ( -0.36)	27.78% ( -2.58)

Both teams to score 65.2% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.75% (

0.01)

34.24% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.86% (

0.01)

56.14% (

-0.02)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01% (

0.99)

13.99% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.49% (

1.91)

41.5% (

-1.91)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-1.59)

24.19% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47% (

-2.3)

58.52% (

2.3)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 50.35%

Borussia Dortmund 27.78%

Draw 21.87%

Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.28) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.14) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 50.35%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.78%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart

43.4%

Draw

18.4%

Borussia Dortmund

38.2%

Head to Head

Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm

Gameweek 11

2-1

Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')

Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')

Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm

Gameweek 28

3-3

Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')

Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')

Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm

Gameweek 11

5-0

Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')

Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm

Gameweek 29

0-2

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')

Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')

Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm

Gameweek 12

2-1

Malen (56'), Reus (85')

Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')