Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Dortmund

Ekitike (18'), Hojlund (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Can (77'), Guirassy (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
44.53% ( 0.21)	21.96% ( 0.04)	33.51% ( -0.25)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 44.53%	1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.96%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 33.51%

Bundesliga

Frankfurt2 - 0Dortmund

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund

Data Analysis

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

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Frankfurt
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