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Bundesliga

Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
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Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Mainz

Kramaric (4', 32')
Chaves (23'), Nsoki (45+2'), Bischof (75'), Baumann (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nebel (49')
Nebel (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
44.31% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.72% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.13% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)42.01% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)64.41% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)19.19% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)50.86% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.59% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)60.47% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 44.31%
    Mainz 05 31.72%
    Draw 23.96%
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.31%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.72%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Mainz

Hoffenheim
25.6%
Draw
17.9%
Mainz 05
56.4%
39
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
2-0
Hoffenheim
Burkardt (4', 24')
Mwene (16')

Kramaric (28'), Kaderabek (32'), Stach (47')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Mainz
4-1
Hoffenheim
Burkardt (47'), Mwene (51'), Gruda (63'), Onisiwo (88')
Kaderabek (19')
Promel (39'), Kabak (83')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
1-1
Mainz
Skov (48')
Kramaric (25'), Brooks (30'), Kabak (32'), Promel (44')
Richter (39')
Fernandes (25'), Caci (29'), Richter (68'), Mwene (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Mainz
1-0
Hoffenheim
Barreiro (33')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
4-1
Mainz
Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')
Kohr (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425
> Bundesliga Full Table


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