MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:20:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Mainz logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Mainz

Kramaric (4', 32')
Chaves (23'), Nsoki (45+2'), Bischof (75'), Baumann (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nebel (49')
Nebel (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Mainz 05

Though Mainz are in poor form, they have not often experienced defeat in recent weeks, and their away record is strong. Hoffenheim have also struggled for positive results, and considering their subpar record against the visitors, they may suffer yet another loss on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
44.31% (0.0049999999999955 0) 23.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 31.72% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.13% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)42.01% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)64.41% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)19.19% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)50.86% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.59% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)60.47% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 44.31%
    Mainz 05 31.72%
    Draw 23.96%
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.31%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.72%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Mainz

Hoffenheim
25.6%
Draw
17.9%
Mainz 05
56.4%
39
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
2-0
Hoffenheim
Burkardt (4', 24')
Mwene (16')

Kramaric (28'), Kaderabek (32'), Stach (47')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Mainz
4-1
Hoffenheim
Burkardt (47'), Mwene (51'), Gruda (63'), Onisiwo (88')
Kaderabek (19')
Promel (39'), Kabak (83')
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
1-1
Mainz
Skov (48')
Kramaric (25'), Brooks (30'), Kabak (32'), Promel (44')
Richter (39')
Fernandes (25'), Caci (29'), Richter (68'), Mwene (90+1')
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
4-1
Mainz
Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')
Kohr (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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