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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 66.21% ( | 19.18% ( | 14.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( | 40.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( | 62.47% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( | 11.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.12% ( | 35.88% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( | 39.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( | 76.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 3-0 @ 7.8% ( 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 4-1 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 5-1 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 4.04% Total : 66.21% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.18% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0-1 @ 4.13% ( 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 1-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 14.6% |