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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
36.87% (![]() | 26.28% (![]() | 36.86% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% (![]() | 51.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.82% (![]() | 73.18% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% (![]() | 26.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% (![]() | 62.34% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% (![]() | 26.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% (![]() | 62.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 9.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 12.49% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.54% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 69 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 48 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 46 |
6 | Freiburg | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
9 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
10 | Stuttgart | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 40 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 38 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
16 | Heidenheim | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 22 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 18 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |