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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
47.29% ( 2.3) | 25.38% ( -0.52) | 27.33% ( -1.79) |
Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.43% ( 1.08) | 50.57% ( -1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( 0.95) | 72.49% ( -0.95) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% ( 1.5) | 21.39% ( -1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% ( 2.26) | 54.38% ( -2.27) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% ( -0.8) | 32.99% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.42% ( -0.9) | 69.57% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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