MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 20:15:38| >> :60:200:200:
Arminia Bielefeld logos
DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
SchucoArena
Leverkusen logo

Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Worl (20'), Grosser (45+3')
Grodowski (63'), Schreck (64'), Russo (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tah (17')
Mukiele (41'), Hincapie (51'), Boniface (60'), Tella (87'), Grimaldo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen will find it difficult to get overcome Arminia Bielefeld given the hosts have a proven track record against sides in the top flight. However, the visitors' have been rampant in the final third in the past games and their away record is strong, and it would be surprising if the champions failed to advance into the DFB-Pokal final against a side from the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawBayer Leverkusen
35.36% (2.066 2.07) 24.53% (-0.109 -0.11) 40.1% (-1.962 -1.96)
Both teams to score 59.27% (0.903 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.37% (0.956 0.96)43.62% (-0.96 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.98% (0.932 0.93)66.02% (-0.93599999999999 -0.94)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (1.643 1.64)24.23% (-1.647 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (2.279 2.28)58.57% (-2.283 -2.28)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (-0.518 -0.52)21.77% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03% (-0.797 -0.8)54.96% (0.793 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 35.36%
    Bayer Leverkusen 40.1%
    Draw 24.53%
Arminia BielefeldDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.298 0.3)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.3% (0.275 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.312 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.195 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.24 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.168 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 35.36%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.475 -0.48)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.1%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs B. Leverkusen

Arminia Bielefeld
16.0%
Draw
14.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
69.1%
81
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Arminia Bielefeld
Alario (30'), Diaby (57', 81')

Kunze (60')
Oct 3, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arminia Bielefeld
0-4
B. Leverkusen

Brunner (10'), Wimmer (55'), Czyborra (66'), Ortega (90+2')
Diaby (18'), Schick (24', 57'), Demirbay (90+2' pen.)
Hincapie (7')
Mar 14, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Schick (85')
Frimpong (49'), Wendell (90+6')
Doan (18'), Okugawa (57')
Pieper (16')
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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