Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Emmen
53.3% ( 0.05)	21.78% ( -0)	24.92% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.62% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.58% (

-0.03)

36.42% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.44% (

-0.03)

58.56% (

0.04)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.19% (

0.01)

13.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.84% (

0.01)

41.16% (

-0.01)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65% (

-0.05)

27.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2% (

-0.07)

62.8% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 53.3%

Emmen 24.92%

Draw 21.78%

Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Emmen
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.3%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.78%	1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 24.92%

Form Guide

Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Hamburger SV (3-4 pen.)

Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL Bochum (4-1 pen.)

Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Wiesbaden

Wiesbaden 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld

Magdeburg 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 SC Paderborn

Emmen 2-1 De Graafschap

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C	Liverpool	37	25	8	4	85	40	45	83
2	Arsenal	37	19	14	4	67	33	34	71
3	Manchester City Man City	37	20	8	9	70	44	26	68
4	Newcastle United Newcastle	37	20	6	11	68	46	22	66
5	Chelsea	37	19	9	9	63	43	20	66
6	Aston Villa	37	19	9	9	58	49	9	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	37	19	8	10	58	45	13	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	37	15	13	9	62	58	4	58
9	Brentford	37	16	7	14	65	56	9	55
10	Fulham	37	15	9	13	54	52	2	54
11	Bournemouth	37	14	11	12	56	46	10	53
12	Crystal Palace	37	13	13	11	50	50	0	52
13	Everton	37	10	15	12	41	44	-3	45
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	37	12	5	20	53	68	-15	41
15	West Ham United West Ham	37	10	10	17	43	61	-18	40
16	Manchester United Man Utd	37	10	9	18	42	54	-12	39
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	37	11	5	21	63	61	2	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	37	6	7	24	33	78	-45	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	37	4	10	23	35	79	-44	22
R	Southampton	37	2	6	29	25	84	-59	12
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Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
Emmen

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