MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:20:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gerhardt (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg

Union will take confidence from their impressive performances against the division's best in the past weeks. Wolfsburg have also been inconsistent away from home, and the hosts' resilience should make them favourites on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
33.95% (1.323 1.32) 25.89% (0.625 0.63) 40.16% (-1.947 -1.95)
Both teams to score 54.26% (-1.723 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-2.397 -2.4)50% (2.399 2.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-2.176 -2.18)71.98% (2.179 2.18)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.339 -0.34)28.08% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (-0.433 -0.43)63.75% (0.436 0.44)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-2.029 -2.03)24.55% (2.031 2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96% (-2.937 -2.94)59.04% (2.939 2.94)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 33.95%
    Wolfsburg 40.16%
    Draw 25.89%
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.746 0.75)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.425 0.43)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.647 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.369 0.37)
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.381 -0.38)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
56.8%
Draw
25.0%
Wolfsburg
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Wolfsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Baku (71')
Wimmer (15')

Vogt (45+2'), Benes (90+3')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Union Berlin
1-0
Wolfsburg
Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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