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DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Sesko (69' pen.)
Lukeba (82'), Haidara (86'), Openda (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maehle (67'), Svanberg (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 Heidenheim
Sunday, February 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Wolfsburg

 Despite both sides' inconsistent form of late, Leipzig seem the more driven, fuelled by a desire for revenge, while their success in the DFB-Pokal in recent years and strong home record against Wolfsburg in the competition could also work in their favour on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
53.61% (-0.344 -0.34) 22.14% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 24.25% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 60.53% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.18% (0.033999999999999 0.03)38.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.87% (0.038000000000004 0.04)61.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)14.54% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.19 -0.19)42.57% (0.19 0.19)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.249 0.25)29.16% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.306 0.31)65.1% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 53.61%
    Wolfsburg 24.25%
    Draw 22.13%
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
82.4%
Draw
13.5%
Wolfsburg
4.1%
74
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
1-5
Wolfsburg
Orban (82')
Baumgartner (26'), Vermeeren (52')
El Amine Amoura (4', 16'), Tomas (5'), Maehle (64'), Behrens (90+1')
Fischer (57')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Wolfsburg
Olmo (13'), Sesko (68'), Openda (82')
Rose (26'), Schlager (27'), Simons (90+1')

Behrens (25'), Fischer (25'), Jenz (35'), Svanberg (85')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Wolfsburg
2-1
RB Leipzig
Wind (9'), Rogerio (66')
Svanberg (35'), Zesiger (45+4'), Lacroix (59'), Casteels (90+2')
Poulsen (52')
Openda (33'), Rose (34'), Simons (79')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Cerny (14')
Lacroix (43'), Vranckx (52'), Kovac (63'), Baku (70'), Pervan (82'), Paredes (84')

Poulsen (42'), Schlager (45+2'), Lukeba (64'), Simakan (90+7')
Poulsen (56')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Wolfsburg
0-3
RB Leipzig
Forsberg (14'), Laimer (85'), Szoboszlai (90+2')
> Preview
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