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Champions League

Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Worthersee Stadion
Leipzig logo

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Malic (42')
Lavalee (52'), Saumel (64'), Jatta (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haidara (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 5-0 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRB Leipzig
31.68% (0.592 0.59)22.58% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)45.74% (-0.495 -0.49)
Both teams to score 65.24% (0.70399999999999 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (0.78999999999999 0.79)35.29% (-0.79300000000001 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.68% (0.873 0.87)57.31% (-0.876 -0.88)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.72499999999999 0.72)22.36% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (1.075 1.08)55.85% (-1.078 -1.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (0.122 0.12)15.97% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74% (0.226 0.23)45.26% (-0.227 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 31.68%
    RB Leipzig 45.74%
    Draw 22.58%
Sturm GrazDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.35% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.01% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 2% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.68%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.74% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 2.06% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-3 @ 5.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.065 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.039 0.04)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.74%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig

Sturm Graz
11.7%
Draw
10.9%
RB Leipzig
77.3%
128
rhs 2.0
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