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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 11, 2025 at 10.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City
3 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Tilio (57'), Caputo (61'), Ferreyra (85')
Ugarkovic (69'), Ferreyra (86'), Leckie (90+2'), Atkinson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abubakar (9'), Jelacic (69')
Ludwik (50'), Bility (90+2'), Klein (90')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Central Coast
Saturday, April 5 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-5 Macarthur
Friday, April 4 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
63.78% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7) 19.78% (0.249 0.25) 16.44% (0.456 0.46)
Both teams to score 55.68% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.86% (-0.276 -0.28)39.14% (0.278 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (-0.29 -0.29)61.47% (0.292 0.29)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (-0.27 -0.27)11.64% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.32% (-0.583 -0.58)36.67% (0.583 0.58)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (0.387 0.39)36.99% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (0.384 0.38)73.77% (-0.383 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 63.78%
    Brisbane Roar 16.44%
    Draw 19.78%
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
2-0 @ 9.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.14% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 63.78%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.105 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 16.44%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Brisbane Roar
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 6am
Gameweek 13
Melbourne City
1-0
Brisbane Roar
Mazzeo (65')
Atkinson (61'), Behich (90+2'), Beach (90+3')

Gianetti (58'), O'Shea (90+3')
Dec 6, 2024 8.35am
Gameweek 7
Brisbane Roar
1-4
Melbourne City
O'Shea (77' pen.)
Van Der Saag (54')
Kuen (1'), Cohen (18', 70'), Ugarkovic (82')
Feb 10, 2024 7am
Gameweek 16
Brisbane Roar
5-1
Melbourne City
Trewin (2'), Waddingham (30', 46'), O'Shea (33'), Jelacic (39')
Hore (10'), Freke (88')
Antonis (73')
Galloway (62')
Dec 28, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 10
Melbourne City
8-1
Brisbane Roar
Good (10'), MacLaren (14', 34', 58'), Natel (48', 70'), Arslan (76'), Mazzeo (85')
Sakhi (45+3')
Brownlie (62')
Mar 12, 2023 4am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC24148246232350
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City24135636241244
3Western UnitedWestern Utd24125750351541
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney24117654391540
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2411674134739
6Sydney FCSydney FC24107752401237
7Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2510785355-237
8Macarthur249694840833
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2485114242029
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2551192849-2126
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2466122740-1324
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2436152950-2115
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2435162055-3514


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