Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.