Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.